The beginning of 2021: Weather update and bud burst

Tuesday, May 18, 2021

Thanks to Jeff Franklin from AAFC Kentville, we’re able to observe the graphs showing the evolution of the climate until Monday May 17. In this publication, it’s possible to see the degree days accumulation in the season 2021 and compare with the last seasons until the same the date.

The first table shows the temperature base 5⁰ C and base 10⁰ C from 2018 until 2021 accumulated each year from March 1 until May 17. At the end of each section, it’s possible to see the average of the last 5 and 10 years respectively.

Category

2018

2019

2020

2021

5 year average

10 year average

Plant development (Base 5ºC)

198.9

159.3

118.8

226.6

174.0

188.6

Insect development (Base 10º)

79.4

44.8

24.1

76.3

57.7

67.2

 Figure 1. Degree day accumulations as of May 17, 2021.  All data are taken from the Kentville weather station, based on a start date of March 1, and calculated using the single sine method.


Similar to the previous publication in April 27 (Season 2021: Weather update), 2021 looks one of the seasons with more accumulation of heat units, especially according to base 5⁰ Celsius. Based on 10⁰ C, 2021 has 76.3 which is above the average temperature of the last 5 and 10 years with 57.7 and 67.2 respectively. The exception in this period is 2018, which was slightly higher with 79.4.

 

In the following column graph, it’s possible to see the values from 2004 until 2021 and at the end you can see the average of the last 5 and 10 years respectively.

Figure 2. Degree day accumulations as of May 17, 2021 base 10⁰ C.  All data are taken from the Kentville weather station, based on a start date of March 1, and calculated using the single sine method.


This graph highlights the difference in the last 2 years and shows some similarities with 2017 and 2018. Similar to our previous publication in April 27, 2010 and 2012 presents even higher accumulation of heat units and especially 2012. Important to mention that these extra heat units have accelerated our bud burst compared with the previous season.


Respect to bud burst, the first varieties started the season 2021 at the end of last week on Friday May 14, such as Baco noir, Lucie Kuhlmann, Frontenac and Geisenheim. This varies depending on the location.


Figure 3. Baco noir

Figure 4. Frontenac and Geisenheim

At the beginning of this week more varieties have shown activity, such as Castel, Triomphe d'Alsace, Osceola and Seyval to give some examples.

Figure 5. Triomphe d'Alsace



Figure 6. Osceola

Meanwhile, Vitis vinifera varieties are coming quite close as well, some examples are Chardonnay and Riesling.


Figure 7. Chardonnay

Finally, remember to keep track of the main phenological stages of your vines in your area. These photos are from different places and the precise bud burst date varies depending on each location.

Enjoy the nice weather!